Healthcare Reform
CBO: Healthcare repeal would increase deficit
Repealing Obama's landmark healthcare overhaul would add billions to government red ink
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nev. leaves the Democratic caucus luncheon to speak to reporters on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 6, 2011. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)(Credit: AP) Repealing President Barack Obama’s landmark health care overhaul would add billions to government red ink and leave millions without coverage, Congress’ nonpartisan budget referees said Thursday ahead of a politically charged vote in the House.
House Speaker John Boehner brushed off the Congressional Budget Office analysis as emboldened Republicans, now in the majority, issued their own report arguing that Obama’s coverage expansion would cost jobs and increase budget deficits.
But Democrats seized on the CBO analysis, calling it a game changer in the battle for public opinion.
In a letter to Boehner, budget office director Douglas Elmendorf estimated repeal would increase the deficit by $230 billion from 2012 to 2021, the 10-year estimating period for budget projections. Moreover, Elmendorf said about 32 million more people would be uninsured in 2019 as a consequence.
But Boehner told reporters: “I do not believe that repealing the job-killing health care law will increase the deficit.”
The budget experts are “entitled to their opinion,” added Boehner, R-Ohio, saying that the analysts had to rely on information selectively supplied by Democrats who wrote the legislation. Not so, said the Democrats; adverse rulings by the budget office repeatedly forced them to go back and revise the bill as they were writing it.
The budget director’s verdict gave Democrats a new counterattack against Republicans elected on a promise to cut government debt. Until now, the main Democratic argument has been that repealing the law would eliminate benefits people are already receiving, from seniors facing high drug costs, to young adults who can stay on their parents’ coverage, to those in poor health who can now get insurance.
“We can’t afford to increase the deficit by nearly a quarter of a trillion dollars, especially with the very first substantive vote of the 112th Congress,” said Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, D-Mont., one of the authors of the law.
“Republicans have to understand that health care isn’t going to be repealed,” said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev. “They should get a new lease on life and talk about something else.” Reid has said he’ll block repeal in the Democratic-led Senate.
Republicans countered that even if it’s technically accurate that the health care law reduces deficits in the short run, a program that big is bound to bust the budget over the long term — and repealing it now will save money later.
“Washington, D.C. may be the only place in the country where people believe that not spending $1 trillion and not massively expanding the size and scope of government health care will increase the deficit,” said Don Stewart, spokesman for Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.
House Republicans have named their legislation the “Repealing the Job-Killing Health Care Law Act,” and they released a report Thursday to make their case.
It challenged economic studies that have portrayed the law in a favorable light, and offered evidence from competing studies that forecast job loss and higher costs. The National Federation of Independent Business, for example, is projecting that the law could lead to the elimination of 1.6 million jobs. NFIB is suing to have the legislation declared unconstitutional.
But the House GOP report raised some questions of its own.
Using a partial quote from a Congressional Budget Office study, the Republican report suggested that the nonpartisan office agreed that the law will cause significant job losses.
In fact, what the CBO actually said was that the law will “reduce the amount of labor used in the economy by a small amount.” In the Republican report “small amount” was replaced by an ellipsis. And CBO said most of that would come not from employers cutting jobs, but from people deciding they don’t need to work as much because they can get health insurance more easily.
George Mason University health economist Len Nichols said that Republicans were trying to compare apples to oranges. “The CBO report is about people willingly withdrawing their labor,” he said. “That is quite different from jobs that employers offer workers.”
The House has scheduled a procedural vote on repeal Friday, with final action next week.
Polls show that Americans remain divided over the health care law, but there’s no clear mandate for repeal either. An Associated Press-GfK survey in November found those favoring repeal were outnumbered nearly 2-to-1 by those who said the law should be left as it is, or changed to do more.
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Associated Press Special Correspondent David Espo contributed to this report.
“Birth control doesn’t matter”
A new survey reveals just how ignorant young people are about contraception and pregnancy
(Credit: restyler via Shutterstock) When it comes to sex and reproduction, even the most mind-numbingly intuitive conclusions can be politicized or disbelieved. So they bear repeating and resubstantiation. Take this recent Guttmacher study on contraceptive knowledge. Surveying 1,800 men and women ages 18–29, the authors “found that the lower the level of contraceptive knowledge among young women, the greater the likelihood that they expected to have unprotected sex in the next three months, behavior that puts them at risk for an unplanned pregnancy.” In other words, access to factual information helps prevent risky behavior.
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Irin Carmon is a staff writer for Salon. Follow her on Twitter at @irincarmon or email her at icarmon@salon.com. More Irin Carmon.
Healthcare’s foreign invasion
Obama risked a trade war with China about manufacturing -- so why isn't he outraged about medical jobs?
(Credit: gualtiero boffi via Shutterstock/Salon) Approximately 15 percent of all healthcare workers and 25 percent of all physicians in the United States were born and educated elsewhere. This means that 1.5 million healthcare jobs are “insourced,” occupied by foreign-born, foreign-trained workers brought into the United States on special visas earmarked for healthcare jobs. This number is 50 percent greater than the total number of jobs in the U.S. auto-manufacturing industry. It’s amazing to consider that in 2008 and 2009, the auto industry, which makes up just 3.6 percent of the U.S. economy, received a $97 billion bailout. If we estimate that each of these 1.5 million insourced healthcare jobs has an average wage of $60,000, that’s $90 billion a year in wages going to people brought into the United States to work rather than training Americans to do the same jobs.
Continue Reading CloseDr. Kate Tulenko is a physician with degrees from Harvard University, Cambridge University and the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine. The former coordinator of the World Bank's Africa Health Workforce Program, she currently serves as director of clinical services for a global health nonprofit. More Kate Tulenko.
Obama destroys Constitution with mild Supreme Court criticism
Conservatives and moderates declare SCOTUS-bashing to be "intimidation"
(Credit: AP) Ruth Marcus is unsettled. Maybe even queasy. There is probably some light nausea. What has her worried for the future of the nation, today? President Obama’s shameful, horrific, vicious attacks on those nice people in the Supreme Court.
Obama said that the court overturning Congress’ healthcare reform law would be a textbook example of “judicial activism” as “conservative commentators” define it: “that an unelected group of people would somehow overturn a duly constituted and passed law.” And hey, that seems like an eminently defensible and not particularly unsettling point! Conservatives made “judicial activism” into a talking point and rallying cry and defined it vaguely enough to encompass judges striking down basically any law or statute.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
My son’s healthcare battle
My 14-year-old has brain cancer. Without Obamacare, he would have already exceeded his lifetime insurance limit
Supporters of healthcare reform rally in front of the Supreme Court on the final day of arguments regarding the healthcare law signed by President Obama on March 28, 2012. (Credit: AP Photo/Charles Dharapak) Mason is my 14-year-old son, who is adorable and funny, and happens to have a very stubborn and large brain tumor. We discovered the tumor four years ago, and we have been monitoring and treating it with the help of some of the finest doctors around. Mason has lived a somewhat “normal” life, despite frequent MRIs and even chemotherapy. He did his homework and hung out with friends until the fall of 2010 when his headaches became debilitating. Scans revealed that Mason’s tumor had grown for the first time since we had discovered it. Then days before we were scheduled to meet with the neurosurgeon to discuss a surgery we had tried to avoid, Mason had a massive cerebral hemorrhage.
Continue Reading CloseJanine is a San Francisco Bay Area writer. She is currently working on a collection of essays about surviving her son's brain tumor and the odd reality that comes with a diagnosis of childhood cancer. More Janine Urbaniak.
Why I need Obamacare
I'm sick, and I will be for the rest of my life. Knowing I won't be denied the insurance I need matters
Supporters of health care reform stand in front of the Supreme Court in Washington, Wednesday, March 28, 2012, on the final day of arguments regarding the health care law signed by President Barack Obama. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)(Credit: AP) Dear healthy people,
It’s great that you’re deriving intellectual pleasure from debating Obamacare. I love that this theoretical dance you’re engaged in has no repercussions to you, a healthy individual. I would love to join you some evening for a spirited discussion on the pros and cons of healthcare reform. Maybe over a glass of wine? Heck — over two or three glasses of wine. I’d love to lean forward, my arched brows furrowed, my full lips purple with the stain of a good Zinfandel, and throw out statistics and well-crafted one-liners about the plight of the uninsured, the underinsured, the sick. Those poor, poor sick.
Continue Reading CloseCedar Burnett is a freelance writer and toddler wrangler living in Seattle. She is currently working on a book about living with ulcerative colitis. More Cedar Burnett.
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